Release 2026-Q4· reporting Q3 2026
Release 2026-Q4· source snapshot 20261005T130551· data through 2026-09-27· Revision log
Shares are of each country's own tracked active developers. Changes compare the same ecosystem in the same country.
| Country | Share of active developers | Developers | Share of the markets' contributors | Developers, change on previous quarter | Developers, change on a year earlier | Share, change on previous quarter | Active again from last quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracked African markets | 25.3% | ≥ 299 | — | -27.1% | -56.9% | -5.2 pp | 48.3% |
| Nigeria | 29.8% | ≥ 244 | 81.6% | -24.7% | -50.1% | -7.8 pp | 50.0% |
| Kenya | 20.6% | ≥ 32 | 10.7% | -38.5% | -77.5% | -4.0 pp | 38.5% |
| South Africa | 11.1% | ≥ 23 | 7.7% | not published | -62.9% | -1.4 pp | not published |
| EgyptContext only | 4.9% | ≥ 13 | — | — | — | — | — |
| GhanaContext only | not published | not published | — | — | — | — | — |
Changes, intensity and tenure are published for the latest eight quarters where a country has 20 or more developers in the ecosystem. Shares need at least 50 active developers in the country and 5 in the ecosystem; a cell under 5 developers is not published.
Developers in the ecosystem by contribution days in the quarter, and by time since their first contribution. Contribution days measure activity, not employment.
| Country | Occasional, under 10 days | Sustained, 10 to 49 days | Heavy, 50 days or more | Under 1 year | 1 to 2 years | 2 years or more |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracked African markets | ≥ 155 | ≥ 134 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 118 | ≥ 70 | ≥ 111 |
| Nigeria | ≥ 122 | ≥ 114 | ≥ 8 | ≥ 107 | ≥ 61 | ≥ 76 |
| Kenya | ≥ 22 | ≥ 9 | not published | ≥ 7 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 19 |
| South Africa | ≥ 11 | ≥ 11 | not published | not published | not published | ≥ 16 |
| EgyptContext only | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GhanaContext only | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Egypt and Ghana, for context. A gap is a quarter with fewer than 50 active developers in the country or 5 in the ecosystem.
| Period | Egypt | Ghana |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2019 | 8.2% | not published |
| Q3 2020 | 6.0% | not published |
| Q4 2020 | 6.3% | not published |
| Q2 2021 | 4.8% | not published |
| Q3 2021 | 6.0% | not published |
| Q4 2021 | 5.8% | not published |
| Q1 2022 | 7.7% | 19.2% |
| Q2 2022 | 11.5% | 29.8% |
| Q3 2022 | 8.5% | 23.0% |
| Q4 2022 | 8.4% | 21.2% |
| Q1 2023 | 6.4% | not published |
| Q2 2023 | 4.8% | 15.6% |
| Q3 2023 | 5.1% | 17.5% |
| Q4 2023 | 4.9% | 16.9% |
| Q1 2024 | 6.2% | 21.0% |
| Q2 2024 | 6.4% | 28.8% |
| Q3 2024 | 6.8% | 34.8% |
| Q4 2024 | 6.4% | 24.4% |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2% | 23.5% |
| Q2 2025 | 7.0% | 35.9% |
| Q3 2025 | 6.4% | 31.3% |
| Q4 2025 | 7.2% | 22.4% |
| Q1 2026 | 4.7% | 17.5% |
| Q2 2026 | 5.5% | not published |
| Q3 2026 | 4.9% | not published |
