Release 2026-Q4· reporting Q3 2026
Release 2026-Q4· source snapshot 20261005T130551· data through 2026-09-27· Revision log
Shares are of each country's own tracked active developers. Changes compare the same ecosystem in the same country.
| Country | Share of active developers | Developers | Share of the markets' contributors | Developers, change on previous quarter | Developers, change on a year earlier | Share, change on previous quarter | Active again from last quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracked African markets | 2.9% | ≥ 34 | — | not published | -60.5% | -0.6 pp | not published |
| Nigeria | 2.7% | ≥ 22 | not published | not published | -64.5% | -0.9 pp | not published |
| Kenya | 3.2% | ≥ 5 | not published | — | — | — | — |
| South Africa | 3.4% | ≥ 7 | not published | — | — | — | — |
Changes, intensity and tenure are published for the latest eight quarters where a country has 20 or more developers in the ecosystem. Shares need at least 50 active developers in the country and 5 in the ecosystem; a cell under 5 developers is not published.
Developers in the ecosystem by contribution days in the quarter, and by time since their first contribution. Contribution days measure activity, not employment.
| Country | Occasional, under 10 days | Sustained, 10 to 49 days | Heavy, 50 days or more | Under 1 year | 1 to 2 years | 2 years or more |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracked African markets | ≥ 14 | ≥ 17 | not published | not published | ≥ 10 | ≥ 20 |
| Nigeria | ≥ 9 | ≥ 10 | not published | not published | ≥ 9 | ≥ 11 |
| Kenya | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| South Africa | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Egypt and Ghana, for context. A gap is a quarter with fewer than 50 active developers in the country or 5 in the ecosystem.
| Period | Egypt | Ghana |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | not published | 10.5% |
| Q3 2022 | not published | 8.2% |
| Q4 2022 | 2.8% | not published |
| Q2 2025 | not published | 3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4% | 5.2% |